Telecoms: D2D Services Drive 15% New Revenue by 2028

Listen to this article · 13 min listen

The traditional revenue streams for telecommunication companies are eroding, forcing a critical re-evaluation of business models. Direct-to-device (D2D) services offer a tangible path to new, sustainable income.

Key Takeaways

  • Telcos must shift from commoditized connectivity to offering integrated D2D services that create value beyond basic data transmission.
  • Successful D2D implementation requires significant investment in network slicing capabilities and edge computing infrastructure to ensure low-latency and high-reliability.
  • Monetization strategies for D2D include subscription models for specialized services, transactional fees for on-demand features, and data-driven advertising partnerships.
  • Early failures in D2D often stemmed from a lack of clear use-case definition and an over-reliance on generic connectivity offerings without tailored applications.
  • By 2028, D2D services are projected to contribute an average of 15% to new revenue growth for telcos that successfully pivot their service portfolios.

The Problem: Shrinking Margins and Commoditized Connectivity

For years, telecommunications providers have faced a relentless squeeze. The core business of voice and data connectivity, once highly profitable, has become increasingly commoditized. Consumers and enterprises alike expect high bandwidth and reliable service at ever-decreasing prices. This pressure has manifested in stagnant Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) figures and intense competition, where differentiation often comes down to who can offer the cheapest gigabyte. I’ve observed this firsthand in the market, where the focus has been on infrastructure upgrades, like 5G rollouts, without a clear, corresponding strategy for monetizing that enhanced capability beyond faster downloads.

The capital expenditure required for network maintenance and upgrades, particularly with the ongoing expansion of 5G and fiber optics, remains substantial. Yet, the returns on these investments are diminishing as over-the-top (OTT) service providers capture the lion’s share of digital service revenue. Think about it: a telco provides the pipe, but companies like Netflix, Spotify, and Zoom deliver the content and applications that users truly value. This dynamic relegates telcos to a utility role, which is a dangerous position in a technology-driven economy.

Consider the 2025 financial reports from major European and North American carriers. Many showed only marginal ARPU increases despite significant network enhancements. According to a GSMA report on the global mobile economy, global mobile data traffic continues its exponential growth, but the corresponding revenue growth for operators is not keeping pace. This disconnect highlights the urgent need for new revenue streams that move beyond simply selling data by the gigabyte.

What Went Wrong First: Generic Offerings and Missed Opportunities

Early attempts by telcos to diversify often fell short. Many launched their own branded content services, streaming platforms, or app stores, only to find themselves outmaneuvered by established players with deeper content libraries and stronger brand recognition. These initiatives frequently lacked a clear unique selling proposition and struggled to gain traction against incumbents. The mistake was trying to compete directly in markets where they had no inherent advantage, rather than using their core strengths: network ownership and direct customer relationships.

Another common misstep involved offering vague “smart home” bundles or generic IoT connectivity without specific, compelling use cases. Customers weren’t looking for just “connected devices”. They needed solutions to real problems, whether it was energy management, security, or remote health monitoring. Without a clear problem-solution fit, these early D2D-adjacent services failed to resonate and often resulted in low adoption rates and high churn.

I recall a major operator in the UK launching a “connected lifestyle” package in 2024 that included a smart hub and a few sensors. The marketing was broad, aiming for everyone, but the actual benefits were unclear, and the setup was complex. Within 18 months, the offering was largely shelved, demonstrating that a “build it and they will come” approach to D2D simply doesn’t work. Specificity matters. Integration matters. Value beyond basic connectivity matters.

15%
New Revenue Growth
Projected contribution of D2D services by 2028.
2028
Target Year for Growth
When D2D services will drive significant new revenue.
2024
Early Failure Example
UK operator’s “connected lifestyle” package largely shelved.

The Solution: Strategic Direct-to-Device (D2D) Service Development

The solution lies in a strategic pivot towards direct-to-device (D2D) services. This isn’t about becoming another content provider. It’s about transforming the network itself into a platform for delivering specialized, high-value applications and experiences directly to a vast array of connected devices, often bypassing traditional app stores or cloud infrastructures. This leverages the telco’s fundamental asset: the network.

D2D services capitalize on advancements in 5G, edge computing, and network slicing. These technologies allow telcos to create dedicated, optimized network segments for specific applications, guaranteeing performance, security, and low latency. The goal is to move up the value chain from mere connectivity provision to becoming an enabler and facilitator of critical device-centric services.

Step 1: Identify Niche Use Cases and Vertical Markets

Instead of broad, generic offerings, telcos must identify specific, high-demand vertical markets where their network capabilities provide a distinct advantage. This requires deep market research and understanding customer pain points. Examples include:

  • Industrial IoT (IIoT): Providing ultra-reliable, low-latency connectivity for automated manufacturing, remote asset monitoring, and predictive maintenance. Imagine a smart factory in Atlanta’s Upper Westside, where robotic arms communicate instantaneously over a dedicated 5G slice, preventing costly downtime.
  • Connected Health: Enabling real-time monitoring of patients via wearables, supporting remote diagnostics, and facilitating secure transmission of sensitive medical data directly to healthcare providers. A partnership with a hospital system like Northside Hospital could involve D2D services for remote patient vitals.
  • Automotive and Autonomous Vehicles: Delivering critical vehicle-to-everything (V2X) communication, over-the-air (OTA) software updates, and infotainment services with guaranteed bandwidth and minimal latency. This is an area where lives depend on network reliability.
  • Smart City Infrastructure: Supporting traffic management systems, public safety applications, environmental monitoring, and connected street lighting. Think about the city of Savannah deploying D2D services for real-time traffic flow optimization.
  • Enhanced Gaming and XR (Extended Reality): Providing dedicated low-latency channels for cloud gaming and virtual/augmented reality applications, delivering an immersive experience directly to headsets and devices without the need for high-end local processing.

The key here is specialization. A telco can’t be everything to everyone, but it can be indispensable to a few key industries. According to Ericsson’s latest Mobility Report, enterprise 5G revenue is projected to reach $600 billion globally by 2030, with a significant portion attributed to specialized D2D applications.

Step 2: Develop Network Slicing and Edge Computing Capabilities

D2D services demand more than just raw bandwidth. They require network intelligence. This means significant investment in network slicing and edge computing. Network slicing allows a single physical network to be partitioned into multiple virtual networks, each optimized for specific service requirements. For instance, an autonomous vehicle slice might prioritize ultra-low latency and high reliability, while a smart city sensor slice might focus on massive connectivity and energy efficiency.

Edge computing brings processing power closer to the devices, reducing latency and enabling real-time decision-making. Instead of data traveling all the way to a centralized cloud data center and back, it can be processed at a local edge server. This is critical for applications like industrial automation, where milliseconds matter. Telcos are uniquely positioned to deploy these edge nodes within their existing infrastructure, creating a powerful competitive advantage. For example, deploying edge servers at existing central offices or cell tower sites. This is exactly what AT&T and Verizon are doing across key metropolitan areas, including Atlanta, to reduce latency for enterprise customers. For financial services, edge computing is important for 2026.

A recent white paper by Huawei on 5G network slicing details how operators can dynamically allocate resources and guarantee Quality of Service (QoS) for diverse D2D applications. This granular control over network performance is what differentiates a D2D offering from generic internet access.

Step 3: Forge Strategic Partnerships and Ecosystems

Telcos cannot build every D2D solution in-house. Success hinges on forming strategic partnerships with technology providers, application developers, and vertical industry specialists. This creates a strong ecosystem where telcos provide the intelligent network foundation, and partners build the specific applications that run on it.

  • Hardware Manufacturers: Collaborating with device makers to ensure smooth integration and optimization of D2D services at the hardware level.
  • Software Developers: Partnering with companies that develop specialized applications for IIoT, connected health, or smart cities.
  • Cloud Providers: Working with hyperscalers to extend edge computing capabilities and ensure data management and storage.
  • Vertical Industry Experts: Engaging with businesses in specific sectors to co-create solutions that address real-world challenges. For example, collaborating with a logistics firm in the Port of Brunswick to develop D2D solutions for container tracking and autonomous port operations.

These partnerships transform the telco from a passive infrastructure provider into an active orchestrator of complex digital ecosystems. It’s a fundamental shift in mindset, from simply selling access to facilitating innovation.

Step 4: Implement Flexible Monetization Models

Traditional “per-gigabyte” billing models are unsuitable for D2D services. New, flexible monetization strategies are essential:

  • Subscription-based Services: Offering tiered subscriptions for guaranteed QoS, dedicated bandwidth, or specific application access. An industrial client might pay a monthly fee for a high-priority network slice for their critical machinery.
  • Transactional Fees: Charging based on specific events or data volumes for certain D2D applications. For example, a fee per successful remote medical consultation or per critical alert transmitted from a sensor.
  • Usage-based Pricing: Billing based on the actual utilization of network resources or specific D2D features, which can be particularly attractive for intermittent or bursty data traffic.
  • Revenue Sharing: Partnering with application developers and sharing revenue generated from D2D services delivered over the telco’s network. This incentivizes developers to build on the telco’s platform.
  • Data Monetization (Anonymized and Aggregated): Using anonymized and aggregated data insights derived from D2D traffic to offer valuable market intelligence to businesses, always with strict adherence to privacy regulations like GDPR and CCPA.

The key is to align the pricing model with the value delivered by the D2D service, moving away from a commodity price per bit. This requires sophisticated billing systems capable of handling complex service definitions and usage patterns.

The Result: Diversified Revenue and Strategic Relevance

The successful implementation of a D2D strategy yields several measurable results for telcos, transforming their financial outlook and market position.

Firstly, it leads to significant revenue diversification. Instead of being solely reliant on consumer mobile subscriptions, telcos gain new income streams from enterprise clients, specialized industry verticals, and value-added services. Projections from Statista’s Telecommunications Market Outlook for 2026 indicate that enterprise 5G and IoT services are expected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of over 25% through 2030, offering a substantial new market for D2D providers.

Secondly, D2D services result in increased ARPU from targeted enterprise segments. These specialized services command higher prices due to the guaranteed performance, security, and tailored solutions they provide. An industrial client paying for a dedicated network slice for their mission-critical operations will generate significantly more revenue than a standard mobile subscriber.

Thirdly, it encourages deeper customer relationships and reduces churn. By becoming an indispensable partner in a client’s core operations (e.g., managing their factory floor or connected health devices), telcos embed themselves into the customer’s value chain, making it far more difficult for competitors to poach them based solely on price. This sticky relationship translates to long-term contracts and stable revenue.

Fourthly, D2D enhances the telco’s strategic relevance in the broader digital economy. They move from being a “dumb pipe” to an intelligent platform provider, positioning themselves at the forefront of innovation in areas like AI, IoT, and extended reality. This attracts talent, encourages innovation, and strengthens their brand image as a technology leader. This shift is critical as AI evolution sees 2026 surges across various sectors.

Finally, there’s the potential for operational efficiencies. By optimizing network resources through slicing and edge computing, telcos can manage their infrastructure more effectively, reducing operational costs while simultaneously delivering superior service. It’s a win-win: better service for customers, better margins for the operator.

The transition to D2D is not without its challenges, particularly the upfront investment in network upgrades and the need for new skill sets. However, the alternative of continued commoditization presents an existential threat. Those telcos that embrace a strategic D2D approach now will be the ones that thrive in the coming decade, transforming their networks into engines of innovation and profitability. This includes considering the role of Robotics AI for smarter automation by 2027 within these D2D ecosystems.

The future of telecommunications hinges on moving beyond basic connectivity. By focusing on specialized direct-to-device services, telcos can unlock new revenue streams, strengthen customer relationships, and secure their position as vital players in the digital economy.

What is direct-to-device (D2D) in the context of telecommunications?

Direct-to-device (D2D) refers to specialized services and applications delivered directly to connected devices (e.g., IoT sensors, autonomous vehicles, smart medical devices) over a telecommunication network, often using technologies like 5G network slicing and edge computing for optimized performance and security, rather than relying on generic internet access.

How does network slicing enable D2D services?

Network slicing allows telcos to create multiple virtual networks on a single physical infrastructure. Each slice can be custom-configured with specific parameters for bandwidth, latency, and reliability, enabling D2D services to receive guaranteed Quality of Service tailored to their unique requirements, such as ultra-low latency for industrial automation or high bandwidth for video surveillance.

What are the primary benefits for telcos adopting a D2D strategy?

The primary benefits for telcos include diversifying revenue streams beyond commoditized connectivity, increasing Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) from high-value enterprise clients, fostering deeper and stickier customer relationships, and enhancing their strategic relevance as technology enablers in key vertical markets like industrial IoT and connected health.

What are some common mistakes telcos made in early attempts to diversify revenue?

Early mistakes often included launching generic content services that competed unsuccessfully with established players, offering vague “smart home” or IoT bundles without clear problem-solution fits, and failing to use their core network assets to create truly differentiated, specialized services.

How can telcos monetize D2D services effectively?

Effective monetization models for D2D services move beyond per-gigabyte billing and include subscription-based services for guaranteed QoS, transactional fees for specific events or data usage, usage-based pricing, revenue-sharing agreements with application developers, and ethical monetization of anonymized and aggregated data insights.

Collin Boyd

Principal Futurist Ph.D. in Computer Science, Stanford University

Collin Boyd is a Principal Futurist at Horizon Labs, with over 15 years of experience analyzing and predicting the impact of disruptive technologies. His expertise lies in the ethical development and societal integration of advanced AI and quantum computing. Boyd has advised numerous Fortune 500 companies on their innovation strategies and is the author of the critically acclaimed book, 'The Algorithmic Age: Navigating Tomorrow's Digital Frontier.'